Connecticut Financing Update and Today's Mortgage Rates 5/18/12

For only the 3rd time since early February, the Conventional 30 yr Fixed Best-Execution Rate is arguably straddling 3.75% and 3.875%.  Some lenders' rate sheets are structured such that 3.75% is clearly Best-Execution.  More have moved down into that territory, though many remain at 3.875%.  

Mortgage Rates are steady to slightly improved today following as Europe's fiscal woes continue providing downward pressure on US interest rates.  The forces at work keeping rates low were joined today by "minutes" from the most recent FOMC meeting.  All told, several notable lenders are offering their all-time lowest interest rates while others remain close.  

Markets actually got off to a shaky start as far as rates were concerned.  Had it not been for the European headlines and the FOMC Minutes, we'd likely be looking at slightly higher rates today.  Mortgage-backed-securities (aka "MBS," the most direct influence on mortgage rates) and US Treasuries began the day in weaker territory until news that the European Central Bank had ceased it's normal interactions with several Greek banks, and the ECB President essentially wasn't willing to bend over backwards to make sure Greece stays in the Euro-zone.  

Until and unless mortgage rates actually break into NEW all-time lows (which they are very close to doing), we'll likely keep reiterating that which has already been said:

We see two diametrically opposed forces pushing and pulling on mortgage rates here at these key levels.  The European component is the obvious force pushing rates down, but less obvious is the underlying structure of the Secondary Mortgage Market providing resistance to moving lower.  The latter is what has prevented rates from getting any lower now and in the past.

That said, if the economic outlook remains fairly dim and if European concerns continue to fuel that "flight-to-safety" demand for long enough, the Secondary Mortgage Market CAN slowly evolve to accommodate lower rates.  It remains to be seen whether or not it will actually happen.  Global economic panic is not our favorite justification for thinking rates will move predictably lower.

Investors in the secondary mortgage market have demonstrated that they tend to feel the same way, having clearly avoided a quick move down into uncharted territory with respect to the "buckets" on the secondary mortgage market.  Without a more stable motivation for low interest rates, we'd expect ongoing progress in creating a market for even lower rates to continue to be slow and small.  

Today's BEST-EXECUTION Rates

30-year fixed 3.875% APR-3.924% 0 points
20 year fixed-3.625% APR-3.692% 0 points
15 year fixed-3.250% APR-3.333% 0 points
10 year fixed-3.000% APR-3.123% 0 points
5/1 ARM-2.625% APR-3.091% 0 points
7/1 ARM-2.875% APR-3.127% 0 points
 
FHA
30 year fixed-3.750% APR-4.659% 0 points
15 year fixed-2.875% APR-3.319% 0 points

Jumbo- over $602,000 (Fairfield County)
30 year fixed-4.000% APR 4.117% 0 points
15 year fixed-3.500% APR 3.574% 0 points
5/1 ARM-3.125% APR 3.419% 0 points
7/1 ARM-3.500% APR 3.818% 0 points

Pat Leary

NMLS #99279
Atlantic Home Loans
830 Post Road East

Westport CT 06880
203-645-1037 cell
203-691-9788 ext 226
1-203-413-5647 fax

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